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Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?
7
Ṁ2kṀ991
Dec 31
41%
chance

Parent market: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-trump-wins-the-nobel-peace-pri

For this market to resolve YES, the parent market must reach 10% or higher at any point after January 19th and before it resolves. If the parent market resolves at 10% or higher, that also counts.

Otherwise, this market resolves NO.

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Currently it would cost about 20,000 mana to force the parent market up to 10%, and you’d get about 12k mana worth of YES shares (at the current price) for your trouble. So anyone with more than 8,000 YES on this market has an incentive…

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