Will Anthropic deploy ads on Claude before 2030?
23
Ṁ2kṀ3.1k2029
26%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if third-party advertising appears in any Anthropic-operated Claude consumer product (claude.ai, official apps) before January 1, 2030. Otherwise "No".
What counts:
Sponsored content or paid product placements in Claude's responses
Display/banner ads in the Claude interface
Affiliate links where Anthropic receives payment
What doesn't count:
Brief limited testing
Anthropic promoting its own subscriptions or features
Ads in third-party apps using Claude's API
User-enabled integrations (e.g., shopping plugins)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Claude Become a Pokemon Master before 2027?
84% chance
Anthropic deploys ads in Claude web or mobile app by end of 2026
2% chance
Claude maintains ad-less free plan until 2028?
75% chance
Will I still be using Claude Code by the end of March 2026
87% chance
Will there be ads with your face on them before 2028?
36% chance
New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?
38% chance
Which OpenAI plans will have advertisements by EOY 2026?
Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?
98% chance
Will Sora have ads two years after launch?
53% chance