Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
12
Ṁ1.1kṀ3.7k2029
31%
19%
Hendrik Wüst
18%
Markus Söder
7%
Alexander Dobrindt
7%
Thorsten Frei
5%
Boris Rhein
5%
Daniel Günther
5%
Ursula von der Leyen
4%
Nina Warken
Resolves to the first person who takes the oath as Federal Chancellor after Merz, if that happens before the next Bundestag election.
Resolves N/A if Merz remains until then.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be chancellor before 14th October 2026?
3% chance
Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Who will be elected Minister-President of Thuringia after the next state election?
Next German president
Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
33% chance
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
57% chance
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
61% chance
Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
11% chance
Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?
Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?