Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Biggest AfD–CDU/CSU poll gap in 2026?
13
Ṁ1kṀ6.4k
Dec 31
13.13 %
expected
0.8%
7 - 8.9%
0.8%
9 - 10.9%
51%
11 - 12.9%
34%
13 - 14.9%
9%
15 - 16%
4%
Above 16%

Resolves to largest lead AfD holds over CDU/CSU in any single national poll published Jan 1 – Dec 31, 2026 by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, Allensbach, Forsa, Verian, YouGov, INSA, or GMS
Gap = AfD% − CDU/CSU%
As of market creation, the largest gap so far is 7 points (INSA poll from May 16, 2026)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!