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AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
43
Ṁ1kṀ11k
Dec 31
35%
chance
9

Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government

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Europe
Elections: World
Germany
German Politics
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Say the AfD falls short of a majority of its own, but manages to split off a few representatives from other parties to get a Minister-President elected. This does not count, right? They need to win a majority of the seats in the election itself.

@AmadeoBordiga Yes, that would not count. The market resolves only based on the election results

I made a separate market on defections: /Simon74fe/saxonyanhalt-2026-how-many-more-vot

filled a Ṁ250 NO at 30% order

@Primer Time to buy into my own limit order

Musk reposting Saxony-Anhalt polls

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