Will the Israeli government legislate any additional rules as part of the judicial revolution?
Will the Israeli government legislate any additional rules as part of the judicial revolution?
8
170Ṁ195Jan 1
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This question will resolve if any law, in addition to the "reasonability clause" law and the "incapability" law, that is widely regarded to be part of the efforts of the current Israeli government to change the legal and political system, will pass in the Knesset. This resolves to Yes if any law reaches the final stage in the [Haaretz](https://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politi/2023-03-07/ty-article-magazine/00000186-b118-d12c-a3af-b7fac2090000) tracker other than the two mentioned above. This will resolve No upon the dissolution of the current government (which might happen in the 2026 elections or earlier). If the tracker is no longer updated, similar alternative Israeli media sources can be used.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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