Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?
100
2.1ká¹€80642026
6%
Bill Clinton
6%
George Bush
2%
Barack Obama
5%
Donald Trump
80%
Joe Biden
0.7%
Other
Carter keeps outliving his death markets. I was kinda tempted to make a "will Carter die at all" market but decided that was one too many silly Carter markets, so here have a serious market instead.
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Is there any reason this market and https://manifold.markets/CivilizedGuy/who-will-be-the-next-us-president-t-PLCCcuc2Eg are so different?
Edit: Oh, it's really new, nvm.
bet not just on if they die, but where manifold will judge them:
😈Who will go to Hell by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
😇Who will go to Heaven by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
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