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Will the S&P 500 hit 7000 before November 2025?
203
Ṁ1kṀ440k
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
NO

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opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 4% order

All manas won by me in this market will be apportioned to my creditors.

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 2% order

@benmanns order up!

everyone please fill jim's limit orders so he can be a mana millionaire again in the timelines where we are up 2.6% tomorrow

opened a Ṁ266 YES at 14% order

this is the jimline, place your bets appropriately

bought Ṁ5,000 NO

Is jim cooked?

update: reports of jim's demise have been greatly exaggerated

@SaviorofPlant ok now jim is actually cooked

@S&P500 Wait no stop recovering I just put the rest of my life savings into this market at 9% what are you doing

posting without commentary:

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 25% order

YES order up

can you tag this as S&P 500 and S&P 500 changes so I get the leaderboard points?

@jim 🫡

i really hope we are at like 6990 in the final hour of trading friday so i can watch this market swing wildly with every micro movement up or down

stock market participants pricing this at >20% BTW

@jim how do you see this

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Bayesian

the profit probability here, plus a bit (the prob was showing 17% when I made my comment)

jim:

stock market participants pricing this at >20%

also jim:

the prob was showing 17% when I made my comment

huh

@Bayesian because it going over 7000 doesn't imply profit? And also there's a $700 premium

bought Ṁ50 NO

oh ok i see now mb

@jim interesting incentives

bought Ṁ50 YES

@jim No one can definitely tell you the call delta

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

stock market participants pricing this at ~17% BTW

stock market participants pricing this at <10% BTW

@jim you've broken me, i was gonna make a new 5k limit order at 15% and double down until the end, but this time i am actually going to listen to the voice in my head telling me that's dumb

i’ll do it i don’t think that’s dumb

@Bayesian doubt jim's powers of prophecy at your own peril.

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