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MANIFOLD
Manifold features launched in 2026
209
Ṁ36kṀ220k
Jan 1
94%
Any A/B tested UI change
78%
Poker
76%
Improved liquidity handling
70%
Market Creator can approve/deny/vet user submitted answers to their markets
57%
interesting comment notifications
51%
Negative risk conversion
50%
Early resolve NO for sum-to-1 multi-choice options
50%
Space the "X" and "Add" buttons farther apart on M.C./Set markets (or change the UI for this altogether)
45%
UI/UX changes that favor limit orders
34%
Split MC buckets in half after creation & trading
34%
Dependent Set/M.C. markets that can sum to 200%, 300%, 400%, and so on
32%
Market comment section search/filter
29%
Re-implement "Unlinked Multiple Choice" as "A bunch of full binary markets that happen to be displayed on the same page"
21%
An update to the loans / margin / capitalization system that Evan Actually Likes
21%
finer resolution betting near 0%/100%
20%
Groups / communities
19%
First class N/A resolution
12%
Non third-party sign in
10%
Multiple non-Mod users can simultaneously share Market Creator powers of a market
10%
Voluntary jury duty for resolving contentious markets

Which features will Manifold ship in 2026? The feature must appear live on the site before the end of 2026. (External PRs that have been merged will count.)

  • Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Subscription plan: Must be a real subscription (not a one-time purchase without automatic monthly payments). Can potentially be in Mana rather than real currency.

  • Update 2026-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Voluntary jury duty for resolving contentious markets: This answer does not need to be implemented by the Manifold team directly — external PRs that have been merged will also count toward resolution.

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@Quroe I don't see why this would suddenly be a priority when everyone stonewalled and ignored it at a time when the site was actually getting frequent changes.

@Eliza But I want to know the probability!

Where Set/M.C. stands for Set or Multiple Choice. Any market that has an array of answers.

Agh, misclick.

@NivlacM What constitutes an improvement in liquidity handling? Adding instantaneous liquidity rather than the drip over time liquidity?

@ShitakiIntaki dunno. I kinda thought this was already done. All I want is to be able to add liquidity to a market and get my money back when it resolves

@NivlacM That has been the case for a very very long time. You get a proportional share of the liquidity you put in returned from the pool's value upon resolution. That would not be a new feature.

would be cool if there was a mechanism allowing you to bet that a market would become popular in the future

like "market X currently only has 3 traders, but I bet it will have over 100 a year from now"

This would be really really good imo, is there a reason that this is structurally hard to implement? It would be great on large multiple choice markets like Dem/Rep nominee odds, TIME POTY, etc

EDIT: I assumed this meant decimal limit orders below 10% or above 90%, but I guess not?

@bens This is not a technical issue, it is a product decision. We used to be able to bet in those ranges.

@Eliza oh wait... I assumed this meant being able to set decimal limit orders... you already can bet YES on options below 1% on multiple choice markets and can't bet NO on them, that's fine although slightly odd... I think being able to set a 2.5% limit order on a random presidential candidate would be pretty helpful though

@bens yes, I meant decimal limit orders like 2.5% or 0.7% or whatever. Exact details don't matter for this market, as long as it's finer options than currently.

opened a Ṁ3,500 YES at 99.0% order

@Eliza why though? It doesn’t make sense to me that we can’t

@JasonMendoza2008 I personally found most of the 'product decisions' from the era of that decision very very hard to actually trace back to a core guiding idea. But in this case it's some combination of:

  • sometimes people lost huge massive amounts of mana like 50,000, because they bet a 99.1% to 99.9% and it resolved against them and they didn't really understand the difference between 99.1% and 99.9% or how to do that safely

  • the site overall was really bad at predicting things in this range and instead of making it better at that, they decided to just ignore it

bought Ṁ250 NO

@a_l_e_x would this have to be a formal feature made by the manifold team?

@realTomBayes not sure it's up to me but I would say yes based on the title/description

@realTomBayes "External PRs that have been merged will count" so no

@SG would it still have to be approved/implemented by the Manifold team though?

@a_l_e_x obviously, nobody can just push a random commit to main without authorization

@realTomBayes oh cool I thought so. I took your question as "does it have to be a built-in feature or can it be an unofficial user initiative" hence my answer. Sorry for any confusion

@a_l_e_x ohh yes I was wondering this also, I just thought you were talking about the codebase because of the word choices you used