Successful Starship splashdowns before orbital launch attempt?
11
Ṁ1kṀ3.1kJul 1
0.9%
4
3%
5
48%
6
15%
7
18%
8
15%
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES.
The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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