What will happen to the @LuigiMangione Manifold account before March? [Add Answers!]

Ṁ1.3kṀ24k

resolved Mar 1

Resolved

YES

Gets Managrammed at least 10,000 mana in total (for example, 2,000 each from 5 people would work)

Resolved

Banned

Resolved

Becomes a Moderator

Resolved

Places a Mana bet (after this market is created)

Resolved

Places a Sweepcash bet (after this market is created)

Resolved

Renamed or Profile pic changes

Resolved

Follows someone other than Manifold AI or Manifold Politics

Resolved

Becomes subject of an official request for user information by a government agency

Each option resolves YES when publicly available information (such as, ibnlt, the user page or statements from Manifold staff) shows that it happened.

All other options resolve NO at market close, or earlier if they become impossible.

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UnitedHealthcare CEO Assassination

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@ian will you be able to tell us if this has happened?

@Robincvgr probably? Not sure. It hasn’t happened yet

@ian Manifold should probably have a warrant canary up in general anyway.

@ian still hasn't happened I assume?

@Robincvgr nope

opened aṀ3,500 YES at 64% order

reposted

@Robincvgr gonna managram Luigi, huh?

@snazzlePop account has received just a little over 3000 so far. People are going to have to step up!

@SeekingEternity

@Robincvgr has almost 10,000 mana riding on this option and cares more about profit-going-up than mana-in-wallet. I'm pretty confident Robin will send whatever is needed to get over 10k managrammed.