Global GDP growth rate below 2.5% in 2025 | Manifold

Global GDP growth rate below 2.5% in 2025

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Will the global GDP growth rate for 2025 fall below 2.5%?

Resolution will be based on the first official IMF World Economic Outlook report published in 2026 that reports the final 2025 global GDP growth figure.

References:

IMF World Economic Outlook: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO
Goldman Sachs Global Growth Forecast: https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/the-global-economy-is-forecast-to-grow-solidly-in-2025

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revised estimate has it at 3.3%: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026#Projections

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