Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2029?

Question

Resolves as YES if Vladimir Putin is the leader of Russia on December 31st 2029

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Image credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_19-01-2021.jpg

Image Source: President of the Russian Federation, www.kremlin.ru. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 51% chance (32 traders, as of May 7, 2026).

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