Will AGI and the invasion of Taiwan occur within 12 months of one another?
11
260Ṁ3942060
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if the emergence of AGI and the invasion of Taiwan occur within 1 calendar year (12 months) of each other.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
When will China invade Taiwan
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
39% chance
Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?
54% chance
Would a China-Taiwan war shorten AI timelines?
24% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
32% chance
In what month will China invade Taiwan?
What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
44% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
30% chance
If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?
45% chance