Which Advance Market Commitment (AMC) will get funded first?
Which Advance Market Commitment (AMC) will get funded first?
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1D
1W
1M
ALL
41%
Broad-spectrum antivirals
25%
Diagnostics for neonatal sepsis
33%
Repurposing generic drugs
The University of Chicago Market Shaping Accelerator (MSA) awarded three top prizes for market shaping proposals as part of their Innovation Challenge:
Which will receive significant funding to bring their solution to life?
Conditions:
- Does not strictly have to be an AMC, it could be some other form of committed funding
- It has to be funded with $100,000,000 USD (or more)
- Will resolve according to an announcement (blog post, press release, tweet) by the University of Chicago Market Shaping Accelerator
- Will extend the deadline as necessary
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.