Will the close price of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) be higher than the previous day?
115
5.1kṀ59kMay 1
1%
April 4
1%
April 7
1%
April 8
99%
April 9
15%
April 10
50%
April 11
Tesla Inc - Resolves to Nasdaq Close Price
TSLA closes at 4pm ET
Initial close price is preliminary, this market is resolved once it's settled.
Resolves YES if stock closes higher than previous day
Resolves NO if stock closes lower or flat
Accounts for stock splits and dividends
Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten + Ammon Lam
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Jan 17 intraday peak 439.74
March 4th intraday low 261.84
60% of 439.74 is 263.84 therefore fall is over 40% on this intraday basis.
Guess what - there is a 40% drawdown market.
https://manifold.markets/francescogiachettomena/will-teslanasdaqtsla-have-a-signifi
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.