Resolution criteria

Each prediction will resolve as follows:

• Australia Win Game: Resolves 'Yes' if Australia wins the 5th Test match of the 2025–26 Ashes series.

• Australia Win Toss: Resolves 'Yes' if Australia wins the coin toss for the 5th Test.

• Australia Bat First: Resolves 'Yes' if Australia bats first in the 5th Test, regardless of toss outcome.

• Winner by innings: Resolves 'Yes' if either team wins the 5th Test by an innings margin.

• Smith 100: Resolves 'Yes' if Steve Smith scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 5th Test.

• Someone announces retirement during the game: Resolves 'Yes' if any player publicly announces retirement from international cricket during the 5th Test match dates.

• Hazlewood 5fa: Resolves 'Yes' if Josh Hazlewood takes five or more wickets in a single innings during the 5th Test.

• Lose a whole day due to rain: Resolves 'Yes' if an entire day's play is lost due to rain during the 5th Test.

• Root 100: Resolves 'Yes' if Joe Root scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 5th Test.

• Draw: Resolves 'Yes' if the 5th Test concludes without a winner.

Official match reports from reputable cricket boards or media outlets will be used to determine outcomes.

Background

The 5th Test of the 2025–26 Ashes series is scheduled from January 4 to January 8, 2026, at the Sydney Cricket Ground (SCG). (espn.com.au) The Ashes is a historic Test cricket series between Australia and England, dating back to 1882. The SCG has traditionally hosted the final Test of the series, often influenced by weather conditions during the Australian summer.

Considerations

• Weather Impact: Sydney's summer can bring unpredictable weather, potentially affecting play.

• Player Form and Injuries: The performance of key players like Steve Smith, Joe Root, and Josh Hazlewood can significantly influence match outcomes.

• Retirement Announcements: While rare, players sometimes announce retirements during high-profile matches, adding emotional weight to the game.

• Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For criteria involving player performance (Smith 100, Root 100, Hazlewood 5fa): A player must play as a batter or bowler to count. This includes:

  • Players in the starting XI

  • Concussion substitutes

  • Sub fielders do not count

• Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For "Potts concede more runs than the top run scorer": This criterion applies to the whole match, not just a single innings.