MANIFOLD
3rd Ashes Test 2025/26 Predictions
27
Ṁ650Ṁ6.1k
resolved Dec 21
Resolved
YES
Australia Win Toss
Resolved
YES
Australia Win Game
Resolved
YES
Australia Bat First
Resolved
YES
Usman plays
Resolved
YES
Cummins plays
Resolved
YES
Rain delay
Resolved
YES
Jofra plays
Resolved
YES
Australia win by 50+ runs
Resolved
NO
Draw
Resolved
NO
Tie
Resolved
NO
Winner by innings
Resolved
NO
No centuries
Resolved
NO
No 5fa
Resolved
NO
Game ends before day 5
Resolved
NO
Hazelwood comes back
Resolved
NO
Brook 100
Resolved
NO
Root 100
Resolved
NO
Someone hits a double century
Resolved
NO
Wood plays
Resolved
NO
Bethel Plays

Resolution criteria

Each prediction will resolve as follows:

  • Australia Win Toss: Resolves 'Yes' if Australia wins the coin toss at the start of the 3rd Ashes Test.

  • Australia Win Game: Resolves 'Yes' if Australia wins the 3rd Ashes Test.

  • Draw: Resolves 'Yes' if the 3rd Ashes Test ends without a winner.

  • Tie: Resolves 'Yes' if both teams have identical scores at the end of the 3rd Ashes Test.

  • Australia Bat First: Resolves 'Yes' if Australia bats first in the 3rd Ashes Test.

  • Winner by innings: Resolves 'Yes' if either team wins the 3rd Ashes Test by an innings margin.

  • No centuries: Resolves 'Yes' if no player scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 3rd Ashes Test.

  • No 5fa: Resolves 'Yes' if no bowler takes five or more wickets in a single innings during the 3rd Ashes Test.

  • Game ends before day 5: Resolves 'Yes' if the 3rd Ashes Test concludes before the start of the fifth scheduled day.

Official match reports and statistics from reputable sources such as ESPNcricinfo will be used to determine outcomes.

Background

The 3rd Ashes Test of the 2025–26 series is scheduled to take place at Adelaide Oval from December 17 to 21, 2025. (cricket.com.au) This match is part of the five-Test series between Australia and England, a historic cricket rivalry dating back to 1882. The Adelaide Oval is known for its batting-friendly pitch, which can also offer assistance to bowlers as the match progresses.

Considerations

  • Match Conditions: Adelaide's weather and pitch conditions can influence match outcomes, potentially affecting the likelihood of high scores or early finishes.

  • Team Form and Selection: Player form, injuries, and team selection leading up to the match may impact performance, influencing predictions related to individual achievements like centuries or five-wicket hauls.

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If Australia wins by 200+ runs, but 100+ and 200+ runs will resolve as yes and so on. So they are not exclusive

Archer has a 5fa in first innings so 'no 5fa' can resolve no.

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