MANIFOLD
1st Ashes Test 2025/26 Predictions
26
Ṁ650Ṁ9k
resolved Nov 22
Resolved
YES
Australia Win
Resolved
YES
Australia Bowl First
Resolved
YES
Starc 5fa
Resolved
YES
2 or more debutants
Resolved
YES
Starc MoTM
Resolved
YES
Game ends on day 2
Resolved
YES
Head 100
Resolved
NO
Australia Win Toss
Resolved
NO
Draw
Resolved
NO
Tie
Resolved
NO
Brook 100
Resolved
NO
Steve Smith 100
Resolved
NO
Root 100
Resolved
NO
Jofra 5fa
Resolved
NO
Cummins 5fa
Resolved
NO
Winner by innings
Resolved
NO
Game ends on day 5
Resolved
NO
Khawaja 100
Resolved
NO
Atkinson 5fa
Resolved
NO
Jamie Smith 100

Resolution criteria

Each prediction will resolve as follows:

  • Australia Win: Resolves "Yes" if Australia wins the 1st Test match of the 2025/26 Ashes series.

  • Australia Bowl First: Resolves "Yes" if Australia bowls first in the 1st Test.

  • Australia Win Toss: Resolves "Yes" if Australia wins the coin toss for the 1st Test.

  • Draw: Resolves "Yes" if the 1st Test ends in a draw.

  • Tie: Resolves "Yes" if the 1st Test ends in a tie.

  • Brook 100: Resolves "Yes" if Harry Brook scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Smith 100: Resolves "Yes" if Steve Smith scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Root 100: Resolves "Yes" if Joe Root scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Jofra 5fa: Resolves "Yes" if Jofra Archer takes five or more wickets in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Cummins 5fa: Resolves "Yes" if Pat Cummins takes five or more wickets in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Winner by innings: Resolves "Yes" if either team wins the 1st Test by an innings margin.

  • Game ends on day 5: Resolves "Yes" if the 1st Test concludes on the fifth day.

  • Khawaja 100: Resolves "Yes" if Usman Khawaja scores 100 or more runs in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Atkinson 5fa: Resolves "Yes" if Gus Atkinson takes five or more wickets in a single innings during the 1st Test.

  • Starc 5fa: Resolves "Yes" if Mitchell Starc takes five or more wickets in a single innings during the 1st Test.

Official match statistics and outcomes will be sourced from ESPNcricinfo and Cricket Australia.

Background

The 1st Test of the 2025/26 Ashes series is scheduled to take place at Perth Stadium from November 21-25, 2025. This marks the first time an Ashes Test will be held at this venue, with the series opener traditionally hosted at the Gabba in Brisbane. (cricket.com.au)

Key players to watch include:

  • Harry Brook: An emerging talent for England, known for his aggressive batting style.

  • Steve Smith: A seasoned Australian batsman with a track record of high scores in Test cricket.

  • Joe Root: Former England captain and prolific run-scorer.

  • Jofra Archer: England's fast bowler, renowned for his pace and ability to take crucial wickets.

  • Pat Cummins: Australia's captain and leading fast bowler.

  • Usman Khawaja: Experienced Australian opener with recent strong performances.

  • Gus Atkinson: Promising English fast bowler making his mark in international cricket.

  • Mitchell Starc: Australian left-arm fast bowler known for his lethal yorkers.

The Ashes series is a historic rivalry between Australia and England, dating back to 1882. The 2025/26 series is part of the ICC World Test Championship cycle. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

  • Venue Impact: Perth Stadium is known for its fast and bouncy pitch, which may favor pace bowlers.

  • Player Form: Recent performances, such as Usman Khawaja's double century against Sri Lanka in early 2025, could influence outcomes. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • Match Duration: Test matches can conclude before the fifth day due to factors like weather conditions or dominant performances.

Traders should monitor team announcements, player fitness, and weather forecasts leading up to the match for informed predictions.

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