
Will we discover life on Mars before 2026?
12
1kṀ12172026
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If we later discover that the life was imported from Earth (say a microbe or a tardigrade on a rover), that still counts because it's life that's on Mars. If Elon gets a person onto Mars before 2026 that also counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2035?
10% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2036?
13% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2028?
5% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2032?
9% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2029?
9% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2034?
10% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2040?
20% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2031?
8% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2033?
10% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2038?
17% chance