
Background "Grok" is an AI model developed by xAI, Elon Musk's artificial intelligence company, launched in 2023. Air traffic control (ATC) is a critical service that helps guide aircraft, maintain safe distances between flights, and manage the flow of air traffic.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if by the end of a potential second Trump administration (January 20, 2029):
- The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has officially integrated Grok AI into its air traffic control systems AND 
- The system is actively being used in at least one U.S. air traffic control facility 
The market will resolve NO if:
- Trump does not win the 2024 election, OR 
- The integration is not completed and operational by January 20, 2029, OR 
- A different AI system is chosen for ATC integration 
Considerations
- As of 2024, there are no public plans to integrate Grok or any other AI system into U.S. air traffic control operations 
- Any integration of AI into critical aviation systems would require extensive testing and certification by the FAA 
- Previous attempts to modernize ATC systems have faced significant technical, regulatory, and bureaucratic challenges 
- During his first term, Trump proposed moving air traffic control operations to a non-governmental entity, but this was not implemented