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Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2024?
11
Ṁ275Ṁ241
resolved Jan 9
100%80%
Better
15%
Worse
5%
The same

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What would be the condition for “the same?”

Better than what, by what metric?

@jskf Probably Brier score, right? But then it's very unlikely to be exactly the same.

https://manifold.markets/calibration
(The page seems to not loading at the moment though...)

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