MANIFOLD
In January 2026, what will be the housing price index reported by Dutch National Statistics (CBS)?
1
Ṁ175Ṁ587
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
< 158
100%85%
< 158
6%
[158, 161)
2%
[161, 163)
2%
[163, 166)
2%
[166, 169)
2%
>= 169

This market will resolve to the “Prijsindex bestaande koopwoningen” (House Price Index for existing homes) for December 2025 as published by Statistics Netherlands (CBS).

https://www.cbs.nl/nl-nl/nieuws/2025/12/koopwoningen-in-februari-10-6-procent-duurder-dan-jaar-eerder

The index value is typically released at around 22nd of each month, for the previous month.

  • Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close before January (earlier than the originally stated close date of December 14, 2025), but will resolve around February 22 when the official December 2025 index numbers are published by CBS.

Market context
Europe
Housing markets
Nederland
The Netherlands
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Thanks! You could try fewer buckets next time, maybe more people will bet. Or look at house prices directly instead of an artificial price index.

Resolved already to keep it simple for myself. We're at 152.8 for november and there's just no way we'll get a ~6 point increase.

We're up to 152.3

Resolution date should be around february 22?

@Sqeedee yeah I’ll wait for official numbers to resolve. I do want to close before January.

We’re currently at 151.6

In my previous markets I've been too pessimistic, I think I've made up more than enough for that :P

@Popsicle2338 it seems like this time your estimates were high

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