
Lula out before April?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ912resolved Apr 24
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces his resignation or otherwise ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Lula ceases to be President of Brazil for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Lula has remained President of Brazil for the entire duration without interruption.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ16 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ15 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
90% chance
Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?
57% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
47% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
82% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
8% chance
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
66% chance
Brazil 2026: Will Lula get more votes than in 2022 (59,563,912) in any round?
45% chance
By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
58% chance
During a 4 month period, will Lula score a 55%+ approval rating by 2 or more major pooling outlets during his current term?
69% chance