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MANIFOLD
Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?
46
Ṁ1.5kṀ3k
2100
77%
Other
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Ivanka Trump
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
1.2%
Nikki Haley
1%
Stacey Abrams
1%
Anna Paulina Luna
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Market context
Politics
US Politics
First Female POTUS
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See the replacement, non/parimutuel market here:

https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/who-will-be-the-first-female-potus?r=SmltSGF5cw

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Why is Kamala Harris so low on this market ?
and why 40-50 % on "other" ?
just because it is a safe bet ?

bought Ṁ10 NO

Woah, this got converted into the new type? I guess it's just a duplicate of the other version now

See the replacement, non/parimutuel market here:

https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/who-will-be-the-first-female-potus?r=SmltSGF5cw

can this be converted to the kind where I can go short Harris

@JonathanRay There is no shortable version of free response yet.

@JonathanRay Now we have one:

This market is a good demonstration of why we need some way to short answers in a free response market. There's a significant chance that the first female president isn't any of the current options, but there's no way to bet on that possibility.

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