I don't currently need a new kidney and I don't think I'm more likely than average to need one in the future. I am 36 years old.
If you are inclined to donate your kidney to a stranger, this market exists to slightly incentivise you to donate one to me in particular, in the unlikely event that I need one in the future.
If this actually happens I will pay for associated costs such as travel (assuming it's legal and I can afford to do so).
Resolves YES if somone with a Manifold account successfully donates their kidney to me.
Resolves NO if I become ineligible to receive a kidney for any reason.
If you would like to promise your kidney to me, send me a private message. If I do need a kidney, people who have promised me a kidney will be the first to know, and be given plenty of time to insider trade and profit.
1,000If I do need a kidney, I will only reveal this to people who have already promised me a kidney
This seems like an extremely unwise commitment. So if you need one and nobody here gives you one, you just won't accept donations?
@IsaacKing hmm good point, I'll rephrase. Anyone who promises me a kidney will be the first to know if I need a kidney, with plenty of time to insider trade.
If you would like to promise your kidney to me, send me a private message. If I do need a kidney, I will only reveal this to people who have already promised me a kidney. That should allow potential donors to insider trade and profit.
What would you resolve it as if a manifold user who isn't compatible with you genetically does a kidney exchange with the explicit purpose of giving you a kidney? (I. E. They donate their kidney to Alice and her husband Andrew donates his kidney to you in exchange).
What about if they donate to you directly but on the condition that I donate my kidney to someone else, effectively starting a kidney donation chain?
@Mad stop making it seem more likely that I'll receive a kidney from a Manifolder, you'll ruin the incentive 😂
I'm his wife and I will resolve this question when he dies, with the understanding that he will set up the Google inactive account manager (he hasn't yet and he should comment on the post when he has), so if it resolves no it'll be 6 months or more after his death.