Will I weigh 140lbs at the end of August?

Question

I have been chronically underweight for a long time. I successfully gained about 20 lbs since the start of 2026, but these past couple months my weight is down again. At the time of creating this market, I weigh 133.8 lbs.

On the morning of August 31, I will weigh myself. If the result is >140 lbs, resolves YES, and if <=140 lbs, resolves NO. I will post daily updates.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 82% chance (10 traders, as of Aug 10, 2026).

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