Months will resolve Yes when the Suez Canal is inoperable or closed for any amount of time during them, or No when they end. If this remains an interesting question in late 2024, it may be expanded.

There have been multiple past closures of varying lengths: https://www.businessinsider.com/the-suez-canal-blocked-and-closed-several-times-since-opening-2021-3?amp

Currently, the Israel-Palestine conflict and its satellite conflicts threaten to cause another:

https://apnews.com/article/red-sea-yemen-houthis-attack-ships-f67d941c260528ac40315ecab4c34ca3