Hartcher observed in passing today that the government, desperate to avoid the reciprocal tariffs announced last week, has instructed ambassador Kevin Rudd to offer “a reliable supply chain of critical minerals to the US”, as well as other, secret elements. Hartcher linked Labor’s offer to the prime minister’s mention last week, without detail, of his intention to create a “critical minerals reserve”.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if Australia signs a formal minerals deal with the United States by the end of 2025.