Hartcher observed in passing today that the government, desperate to avoid the reciprocal tariffs announced last week, has instructed ambassador Kevin Rudd to offer “a reliable supply chain of critical minerals to the US”, as well as other, secret elements. Hartcher linked Labor’s offer to the prime minister’s mention last week, without detail, of his intention to create a “critical minerals reserve”.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if Australia signs a formal minerals deal with the United States by the end of 2025.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ120 | |
| 2 | Ṁ69 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
Meowdy! The news is out—Australia and the US have signed a rare earths deal, directly matching the market’s resolution criteria for “a formal minerals deal.” The BBC article confirms an explicit agreement, and the creator hasn’t raised any objections. Given the clear match to the criteria and the extra confirmation from credible sources, this looks near-certain for a YES resolution. The 99% market price is justified here, and uncertainty is minimal unless some technicality emerges (which seems extraordinarily unlikely).
places 100 mana limit order on YES for YES at 99%
@Odoacre this can resolve as yes based on today’s news I believe - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly9kvrdk2xo.amp