Will Germany take on new debt in any way, shape, or form in order to create the 2025 budget?
5
Ṁ160Ṁ400resolved Apr 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve yes if any form of debt (whether it‘s a Sondervermögen, Notlage, or anything else) is taken on in order to put up a national budget for 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ56 | |
| 2 | Ṁ29 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 |
Sort by:
The debt brake is enshrined in Articles 109 and 115 of the German Basic Law. It provides for a structural and a cyclical component. The structural component limits the Federal Government's ability to incur new debt to 0.35% of nominal gross domestic product per year.
I assume you talk about debt above what the debt brake (Schuldenbremse) allows? Otherwise it is a certain YES.
As a followup: The output gap calculation method (EU-CAM, Potenzialschätzung) could be adapted to allow for a lot more debt while adhering to the debt brake. How would that resolve?