How many women <= 25 y.o. will manifold.love have as users at the end of 2025?
14
225Ṁ601
2026
145 users
expected
32%
Below 50
49%
50 - 99
4%
100 - 199
4%
200 - 299
3%
300 - 499
2%
500 - 699
2%
700 - 999
2%
1000+

Resolution method: go to https://www.manifold.love/ and filter by gender, chose "woman", then by age, chose <= 25, chosing "active" rather than "new". Note in particular that the referent of "woman" is explicitly delegated to manifold.love's own categorization (which for all I know might change).

Market hacking (e.g., creating fake profiles) is against the spirit of this question and I may adjust for it.

As of market creation, there are 57 such users.

If manifold.love doesn't exist, market resolves as <50.

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