For this question, “publicly question” means that a sitting MP must make a clear, documented public statement—whether in parliamentary debates, official speeches, media interviews, or published statements—that challenges or criticizes the status quo regarding American military bases, troops, or equipment on the UK mainland. The prediction market will resolve YES if on the date at least one MP issues such a statement, otherwise, it will resolve NO on polling day of the next UK general election.

If there's any disagreement about whether or not a statement qualifies, the following query will be fed into the top ChatGPT reasoning model I have access to at the time:

"Your job is to resolve a prediction market either YES or NO. The question is as follows: $question_text

The description is as follows: $description_as_above

Today, a sitting MP made the following statement: $statement

The UK election has not yet taken place. Please respond with only the word YES or NO."