MANIFOLD
Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?
24
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k
Dec 31
82%
chance

Human can choose backing track and rap the lyrics, but I need to be sure that the AI wrote them and that they weren't edited.

Seems more likely this will happen via an AI that just generates repeated full songs.

Has to be 1 of every 1 - 1000 generations not the best of 1 Bn.

Apr 3, 6:32pm: Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without any human input in the lyrics 2025? → Will an AI be able to repeatedly write rap songs that I think are good without human input in the lyrics before 2025?

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
35% chance
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
20% chance
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?
11% chance
Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?
51% chance
Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?
12/30/26
Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?
16% chance
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
72% chance
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2027 be composed by AI?
77% chance
Sort by:

What are some good rap songs?

What do you consider a good rap song?

If the answer is yes, but it takes 1000 generations to find each good one, will we know? i.e. Are you (or someone) actually going to generate 1000 rap songs to find out?

Already true

People are also trading

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
35% chance
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
20% chance
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?
11% chance
Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?
51% chance
Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?
12/30/26
Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?
16% chance
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
72% chance
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2027 be composed by AI?
77% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy