What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

The probability of "extremely bad outcomes e.g., human extinction" from AGI will be >5% in next survey of AI experts

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?

Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2030?

Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2035?

At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2027

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

If humanity survives to 2100, what will experts believe was the correct level of AI risk for us to assess in 2023?