Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?

Question

Resolves YES if the 7d avg DAU at the end of 2026 is >1000. Otherwise resolves NO.

Update 2026-05-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 7d avg DAU metric used for resolution will be Active Users (not Active Traders) from the Manifold stats page.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 83% chance (61 traders, as of Jun 17, 2026).

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