When will we first see a Raptor V3 (or other**) engine fly on a Starship?
14
2.1kṀ7106
2026
1%
Before October 2025
19%
Before November 2025
44%
Before December 2025
61%
Before March 2026
66%
Before January 2026
84%
Before June 2026
Resolved
NO
Before 2025
Resolved
NO
Before July 2025
Resolved
NO
Before April 2025
Resolved
NO
Before October
Resolved
NO
Before August
Resolved
NO
Before June

Last May, Elon Musk announced that a new Raptor Engine version (referred to variably as Raptor 3, Raptor V3, or Raptor 3.0) achieved a record breaking 350 bar chamber pressure (and 269 tons of thrust) in a test fire; however we've heard very little about its development since and it's unclear if/when we'll see one in use

This question asks when we'll actually see a major new engine version (of any type) be used on a Starship

Answers will resolve YES once a Starship Super Heavy launch* occurs with at least one satisfactory** engine on the first or second stage

*Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even if only slightly, under the power of its own thrust (an explosion on the pad does not count).

**For an engine to be counted as satisfactory for the purposes of this question, it must not be referred to as a Raptor V2 (or V1) or as some variant of Raptor V2 (or V1).

Examples of real or hypothetical engine versions that would resolve YES: Raptor 3, Raptor V3.5, Raptor 4.0, 1337, T-Rex, BE-4, Merlin

Examples of real or hypothetical engine versions that would not resolve YES: Raptor V1, Raptor 2, Raptor 2.5, Raptor 1e, Raptor V2 Block 2

The dates will resolve NO as they are reached, unless a launch occurs with evidence of a possible but unconfirmed satisfactory engine in which case I'd wait for a while to see if any confirmed information comes out

The engine does not have to operate nominally, or even operate at all

Dates use UTC

As confirmed by SpaceX or a credible SpaceX employee, or if high confidence: by photographic evidence

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