In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 2 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 2 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
9
1kṀ1401
2026
19%
chance

The ban must be announced within 14 days of the the card becoming legal in the format in paper OR the card becoming legal in the format online (i.e. ignoring any pre-release events).

Pre-bans don't count, the card has to spend some time being playable in the format before it's banned.

Alchemy-style nerfs are not bans.

The card must be banned from one of these formats: Standard, Alchemy, Explorer/Pioneer, Historic, Timeless, Modern, Legacy, Vintage, Pauper, Commander, Brawl, Standard Brawl. Bans that hit a subset of one of these formats (such as a card only being banned in Best of 1 Arena Standard) still count.

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2mo

I don't really understand why you'd want prebans not fo count, it seems against the spirit of the market. If the card is so broken as to be banned before release that feels like in the spirit of "banned within two weeks" to me.

@Ajelenbogen Historic has had a zillion prebans for format curation reasons, often of cards like Lightning Bolt or fetchlands that are not really "broken" in the traditional sense. I think including prebans like those would be against the spirit of the market.

Plus part of the spirit of the market is "Will WotC make a huge mistake with card balance", and prebans are not that kind of mistake.

2mo

@Multicore I guess I would just add newly printed to the requirements since the historic prebans are all reprints. I think prebans do, the vast majority of the time, imply a massive card balance mistake. The weird part is that with the no prebans rule you have to ask questions like:

"Well card X in Astherdrift is obviously broken in format Y, the question is will they preban it because it is so broken or will they wait two weeks?" Which feels pretty weird to me."

But maybe this is all too in the weeds.

2mo

Same question but 4 weeks instead of 2:

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

Given that Nadu took over 2 months to be banned despite very obviously needing it, I doubt this will happen outside of a coincidence. (along the lines of, a set with an OP card is released less than 2 weeks before they release their regular ban announcement)

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 35% order3mo

@Nightsquared Put a limit at 35%

2mo

@Nightsquared This happened a couple years ago with Tibalt's Trickery in Modern. Not a high base rate but not nothing either.

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