Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations? | Manifold

Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?

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sold Ṁ55 NO

selling my shares as it seems likely they will never pause - but the criteria is a bit vague.

bought Ṁ10 NO

oh this is another one of those markets that can't ever resolve NO. pointless. I'll just take my -M1 loss then and forget about it

@Pykess Changed question to 2035

Rana GsoldṀ10NO

Does it have to be unilateral or can they be forced by regulator?

Will this resolve NO if we reach the close date without Anthropic having paused?

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Related questions

Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least six months as a result of safety evaluations?

Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development as a result of safety evaluations?

Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?

Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?

Will Anthropic release a model that thinks before it responds like o1 from OpenAI by EOY 2024?

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will Anthropic's RSP security commitments (as of Oct. 28 2023) cause them to pause scaling for at least one month?

Will the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

By 2028, will I think Anthropic has been net-good for the world?

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