Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter of 2025 (Q3 2025) is reported as positive by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The official GDP figures are typically released approximately one month after the end of the quarter. The first estimate for Q3 2025 is expected in late October 2025. The market will resolve based on the first official estimate published by the BEA, regardless of any subsequent revisions. The BEA's GDP releases can be found at https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.

d in late October 2025. The market will resolve based on the first official estimate published by the BEA, regardless of any subsequent revisions. The BEA's GDP releases can be found at https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.