Predict my 2026 manifold journey
10
Ṁ1kṀ1.1kDec 31
80%
I get demoted from master once
27%
I win master once
63%
I create a bot account to compete in silicon league
67%
My mana net worth exceeds 500k at any point in the year
27%
My mana net worth exceeds 1 million at any point in the year
17%
My mana net worth exceeds 2 million at any point in the year
38%
I lose my daily betting streak
33%
I become inactive (no trades for a month)
73%
I profit more than 50k mana from a single market
64%
I lose more than 10k mana from a single market
Predict my 2026 journey on manifold. Will not bet besides setting initial odds
Resolution Criteria
Each answer resolves YES or NO based on whether the specified event occurs at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Will I spend money on manifold in 2026?
48% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
32% chance
Will I be active on Manifold at the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will I reach a 1000-day prediction streak on Manifold
78% chance
Will @BTE own/run Manifold at the end of 2026?
2% chance
How will I do in this month's manifold season?
Most profitable Manifold user at end of 2026
Will I get masters ranked in manifold by March 2026
25% chance
What will be my position on the Manifold profit leaderboard at the end of 2026?
38.1
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Will I spend money on manifold in 2026?
48% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
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Will I be active on Manifold at the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will I reach a 1000-day prediction streak on Manifold
78% chance
Will @BTE own/run Manifold at the end of 2026?
2% chance
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Will I get masters ranked in manifold by March 2026
25% chance
What will be my position on the Manifold profit leaderboard at the end of 2026?
38.1