Which of @Mira 's Twitter follower market designs will be most actively traded?

14

Ṁ1kṀ3.7k

resolved Jan 1

100%91%

Unlinked: https://manifold.markets/Mira/will-mira-reach-any-of-these-twitte

1.3%

Linked(log scale): https://manifold.markets/Mira/how-many-twitter-followers-will-mir

5%

Binary: https://manifold.markets/Mira/will-mira-have-at-least-5000-twitte

0.5%

Linked(linear scale): https://manifold.markets/Mira/how-many-twitter-followers-will-mir-4b950f7dd56a

2%Other

I am testing how popular different market designs are. This meta-market resolves to which of the other markets has the most traders at end of 2024.

I may add new market designs as I think of them.

If you are an author of an arbitrage bot, you may want to try arbitraging these markets since there will be free money on the less-traded ones.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ447
2		Ṁ134
3		Ṁ75
4		Ṁ66
5		Ṁ0

Sort by:

Now we need a version of this market which uses softmax, so they you can have a meta-meta-market using at least binary and maybe BCE, strange loop it from there. I think you should be in line for infinity trading bonuses?

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy