How many seats will Milei's La Libertad Avanza coalition gain in Argentina's 2025 national senate elections?

10

Ṁ1kṀ16k

resolved Dec 13

100%49%

13

0.5%

≤ 6

0.5%

7

0.5%

8

0.6%

9

3%

10

5%

11

35%

12

5%

14

0.4%

≥ 15

Market context

Elections: World

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Hi everyone. Argentina's system for assigning seats is a bit more different and complicated than I thought it would be. For the purposes of resolving this market I used the net gain number (relative to the last election) most commonly reported. However, to be fair to all of you traders in my market, I must concede that I did not do the best job at clarifying my resolution criteria, so if you lost money in this market due to a misunderstanding and believe that you have a decent argument for why another number in which you made a bet should've resolved to YES, then send me a DM briefly articulating your case and I will make you a refund and perhaps a send some more depending on the strength of your argument. Thanks for betting in my market.

sold Ṁ1,500 YES

@creator does gain mean relative to the last election or the total number of seats?

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Will La Libertad Avanza win 3+ gubernatorial races in Argentina's 2025 provincial elections?

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentinian presidential election?

Will Uruguay's Libertarian Party secure at least 5 Senate seats in the 2029 legislative election?

Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?

Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?

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Will Argentina's poverty rate rise above 70% before the end of Javier Milei's current term?

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