Will manifold allow us to donate Mana to charity at sticker price in 2025?
13
1kṀ3349
2026
9%
chance
6

I will close this YES only if I personally and successfully convert Mana into donation. I will resolve NO if the year ends without that becoming possible. I will not resolve on an announcement.

Sticker price means the same exchange rate we use to buy Mana. (If there's let's say a <5% difference I'll accept that too)

Charity does not have to mean every charity is available. If they literally just add a "donate your mana to GiveDirectly" button that counts.

  • Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on resolution criteria:

    • The creator is committed to personally converting Mana into a donation.

    • If prevented by factors other than Manifold disallowing the donation, the outcome will be determined based on the creator’s judgment on whether Manifold would have allowed the donation.

    • The resolution remains tied to donating at the sticker price as originally defined.

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18h

What if you choose not to do this but Manifold allows you to do it?

14h

@BlackCrusade oh, I will do it, I guess if I'm somehow prevented by some factor other than manifold preventing me I'll resolve based on whether I believe manifold would have allowed me

opened a Ṁ75 YES at 17% order

Selling all my NO shares at 17% because I need to liquidize

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