Will Kerbal Space Program 2 be as good as the original, according to metacritic?
17
1kṀ3686
2026
4%
chance

Market resolves YES if KSP2 for PC has a metacritic rating of 88 or higher two months after the game is officially fully released.

  • Update 2025-09-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If KSP2 never officially fully releases (remains in Early Access), the creator intends to resolve NO.

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@MichaelBennett Could you resolve this market? It should either resolve N/A or NO, because KSP2 has been canceled and is no longer being developed.

@Gabrielle It hasn't been officially cancelled. I would prefer to wait until it has been officially cancelled. However, if the holders in the market would like me to go ahead and resolve it now, I am happy to do so.

This market can never resolve as the game has been canceled. It should N/A.

@mods

@BlackCrusade is this verified? AFAICT from a quick search, it appears that it's likely but not definitively inactive

@bens the studio working on it has been dissolved. There may no longer be a possibility of a cancellation announcement.

@BlackCrusade As someone generally opposed to N/A resolutions, I'm not clear why one is needed here. How would the game get a good rating after release if it is not released? It will not have the rating under the conditions specified, no one expects those conditions to be satisfied, resolves No accordingly.

How does this market resolve if it never comes out of early access?

^

@Mqrius I'd resolve no. But I'm open to being persuaded otherwise.

@MichaelBennett No makes sense but it would've been better to decide that long before it became relevant!

This market should be added to the KSP group to perhaps attract more traders: https://manifold.markets/group/kerbal-space-program

Also might wanna clarify what you mean by "fully released", since it has already been two months from the initial release on Feb 24, 2023

predictedNO

@JacksonWagner thanks will do. Right now it's Early Access, what I mean by full release is when it comes out of Early Access, what would be the technical term for that?

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