Will Jimmy Carter stay alive until his mock election option on @strutheo’s market is resolved ?
Will Jimmy Carter stay alive until his mock election option on @strutheo’s market is resolved ?
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180Ṁ1304Jan 1
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Jimmy Carter is among the options on this market :
Market description includes
"Must be a REAL LIVING PERSON that the majority of Manifold users think can defeat both Biden in a 1-1 election, and Trump in a 1-1 election.
Will be resolved by a poll for each option to decide if they'd win the mock election(s)"
Will Jimmy Carter remain a REAL LIVING PERSON until @strutheo resolves the 'Jimmy Carter' option ?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.