MANIFOLD
Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record” in the US?
14
Ṁ1.2kṀ11k
resolved Jan 15
Resolved
NO
April
Resolved
NO
March
Resolved
NO
February
Resolved
NO
January
Resolved
NO
May
Resolved
NO
June
Resolved
NO
July
Resolved
NO
August
Resolved
NO
September
Resolved
NO
October
Resolved
NO
November
Resolved
NO
December

Resolves according to NOAA Monthly Report (national), a tie will be resolved as 50%.

“Corresponding month” means that a January competes only with all previous Januaries, and July only with all previous Julys.

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bought Ṁ740 NO

@McLovin
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/national/202511

November Temperature


November 2025 Statewide Temperature Ranks

The average temperature of the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) in November was 46.8°F, 5.1°F above the 20th-century average, ranking as the fourth-warmest November in the 131-year record.

Other reports also available
ranking as the eighth-warmest October in the 131-year record.


ranking as the seventh-warmest September in the 131-year record.

bought Ṁ743 NO

The CONUS maximum (daytime) temperature in August was 85.9°F, 0.8°F above average, while the minimum (nighttime) temperature was 60.8°F, 1.8°F above average, both ranking in the warmest third of the record.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/national/rankings/110/tmin/202508#1
August 2025 20th Warmest
@McLovin August can resolve, thanks

bought Ṁ734 NO

@McLovin June and May resolve NO

@BlackCrusade thank you, I’ve resolved May, and I’ll resolve June when NOAA will publish their monthly report, which they promise to do on July 14th, ok?

@McLovin

January: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/national-climate-202501 NO
"The average temperature of the contiguous U.S. in January was 29.2°F, 0.9°F below average, ranking in the coolest third of the 131-year record and the coldest January on record (2005–25) for the U.S."
February: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/national-climate-202502 NO
The average temperature of the contiguous U.S. in February was 34.9°F, 1.0°F above average, ranking in the middle third of the 131-year record.
March: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/national-climate-202503 NO
"March was the sixth-warmest March on record for the contiguous U.S."
April: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/national-climate-202504 NO
The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) in April was 53.6°F, which is 2.6°F above the long-term average and ranks in the warmest third of the 131-year record.

Realizing now I could've just used this tool https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/national/rankings/110/tavg/202501 to confirm easily

bought Ṁ40 NO

Wonder if some of these are overvalued?

(edit: oh whoops pardon, learning how reposts work)

From 2024, no months were the hottest in their record across the US:

Climate change will fuck us over, and these montsh are frequently the hottest ever globally, but I do wonder if these USA-specific climate options are overvalued?

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