My new novel, Red Heart, comes out November 3rd.

Each submarket resolves YES if that person either gives the book a positive review on some website, such as Amazon, or if they signal-boost the book in a way that's obviously meant to get people to read it (talking about the book in a negative way won't count; neutrally mentioning it on 𝕏 or Substack will). If someone gives a negative review or simply doesn't mention Red Heart publicly by the end of the year, they will resolve NO. If a review or mention is ambiguous, I will ask Claude 4.5 Sonnet to categorize it.

I won't bet on this market.

The names I've seeded the market with are all people who I am unsure about (i.e. in the range of 10%-90%). Feel free to propose your own names!