Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?
99
1.4kṀ49k2029
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly. Otherwise, at market close, I'll ask him somehow, and resolve based on the answer. Resolves N/A if he doesn't answer me.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/j9Q8bRmwCgXRYAgcJ/miri-announces-new-death-with-dignity-strategy
I will not trade on this market after 2022.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
54% chance
Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
28% chance
Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 50% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
30% chance
Will @EliezerYudkowsky reverse his opinion on AI safety, before 2030?
9% chance
Which well-known scientist will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a long recorded conversation with about AI risk, before 2026?
It's end of 2025, a global AI moratorium is in effect, Eliezer Yudkowsky endorses it. What were its decisive causes?
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
47% chance
Will Y. Lecun turn AI doomer by end 2025 ?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance