Who will be the next prime minister of Czech Republic
Who will be the next prime minister of Czech Republic
9
1kṀ3334Nov 30
1D
1W
1M
ALL
75%
Andrej Babiš
6%
Petr Fiala
1%
Ivan Bartoš
18%
This will resolve to the next person (including Petr Fiala, the current PM) that:
a) is appointed as prime minister by the president and
b) forms a cabinet that passes a confidence vote in the parliament
Regular elections are scheduled for autumn 2025 - those automatically force a new PM to be appointed and ask for confidence within 30 days of appointment. This question will also resolve if a new appointment is made earlier e.g. due to snap elections or the current PM resigning.
The close date will be extended until a new PM passes confidence vote.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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