Rumors have been swirling that John Fetterman is planning on leaving the democratic party - rumors he has virulently denied. Many on the left still see him as the most likely candidate if anyone was going to flip - Fetterman has positioned himself as one of the (if not the) most pro-Israel voices in the senate, has met with Trump multiple times, has broken with his party repeatedly during the 118th Congress, and represents the swingiest of America's swing states. Will he identify as anything other than a Democrat before 2026?

If Fetterman is anything other than a Democrat by market close, this resolves YES, including any Republican or any Independent affiliations. If Fetterman dies, this market resolves N/A.

This market is part of "Fettermania!", a series of markets around America's "big guy," Senator John Fetterman (PA-D).